Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.000927 0.000974 0.001023 0.001075 0.001132 0.001190 0.001255
2025-08-10 0.000846 0.000913 0.000985 0.001066 0.001156 0.001252 0.001364
2025-08-17 0.000775 0.000854 0.000941 0.001042 0.001157 0.001284 0.001437
2025-08-24 0.000725 0.000813 0.000910 0.001027 0.001164 0.001320 0.001512
2025-08-31 0.000691 0.000787 0.000895 0.001027 0.001186 0.001370 0.001603
2025-09-07 0.000657 0.000757 0.000873 0.001017 0.001192 0.001400 0.001670
2025-09-14 0.000629 0.000733 0.000855 0.001009 0.001200 0.001432 0.001739
2025-09-21 0.000603 0.000710 0.000837 0.000999 0.001204 0.001457 0.001799
2025-09-28 0.000578 0.000687 0.000817 0.000987 0.001203 0.001476 0.001849
2025-10-05 0.000549 0.000658 0.000790 0.000963 0.001187 0.001472 0.001870
2025-10-12 0.000531 0.000642 0.000777 0.000956 0.001191 0.001496 0.001927
2025-10-19 0.000517 0.000629 0.000768 0.000954 0.001202 0.001527 0.001995
2025-10-26 0.000506 0.000622 0.000766 0.000963 0.001228 0.001582 0.002103
2025-11-02 0.000491 0.000608 0.000756 0.000960 0.001239 0.001618 0.002185
2025-11-09 0.000470 0.000587 0.000735 0.000941 0.001227 0.001620 0.002218
2025-11-16 0.000454 0.000570 0.000719 0.000929 0.001224 0.001635 0.002271
2025-11-23 0.000443 0.000561 0.000713 0.000929 0.001238 0.001673 0.002360
2025-11-30 0.000429 0.000546 0.000700 0.000920 0.001237 0.001691 0.002418
2025-12-07 0.000417 0.000535 0.000689 0.000914 0.001240 0.001713 0.002484
2025-12-14 0.000405 0.000522 0.000678 0.000905 0.001239 0.001730 0.002541
2025-12-21 0.000393 0.000509 0.000665 0.000894 0.001234 0.001740 0.002587
2025-12-28 0.000378 0.000492 0.000645 0.000873 0.001213 0.001724 0.002592
2026-01-04 0.000369 0.000482 0.000636 0.000867 0.001215 0.001744 0.002654